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Mitchell Trubisky

Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.4 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (16.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defensive ends profile as the 9th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Mitchell Trubisky has averaged a mere 0.5 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the NFL among QBs (6th percentile).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

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