Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (16.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive ends profile as the 9th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mitchell Trubisky has averaged a mere 0.5 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the NFL among QBs (6th percentile).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

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