Mitchell Trubisky Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 196.5 (+114/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 203.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 196.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
Mitchell Trubisky has passed for a lot more yards per game (177.0) this year than he did last year (7.0).
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year (73.0%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 6th-worst safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 27.0 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
The Carolina Panthers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in football since the start of last season.

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