Mitchell Trubisky Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 226.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 235.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 226.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 6th-most yards in the NFL (254.0 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mitchell Trubisky has attempted just 1.3 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile among quarterbacks.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the weakest passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging 7.0 yards per game while checking in at the 7th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.52 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in football.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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