Mitchell Trubisky Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 37.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the league against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.0%).

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the worst precision passers in the NFL this year with a 60.8% Completion%, grading out in the 25th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on just 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.