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Mitchell Trubisky

Mitchell Trubisky Completions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Mitchell Trubisky Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+112/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -147.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Mitchell Trubisky has attempted a measly 10.0 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile among QBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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