Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 8, 2024 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (43.3% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.
The projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Panthers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league last year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The Saints defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in the league last year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Miles Sanders's rushing efficiency (3.21 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football last year (7th percentile when it comes to RBs).
With a terrible record of 2.65 yards after contact (24th percentile) last year, Miles Sanders has been among the least powerful running backs in the league.

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