Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.46 seconds per play.
Miles Sanders has earned 57.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Panthers to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Miles Sanders's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a a noteable regression in his rushing talent over last season's 74.0 mark.

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