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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 17.2 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Miles Sanders has generated 71.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (95th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Miles Sanders's rushing efficiency has tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.25 yards-per-carry vs a 4.84 rate last year.
  • Miles Sanders has struggled more with grinding out extra running yardage this season, totaling 1.81 yards-after-contact vs a 3.02 rate last season.

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