Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to run on 48.3% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 63.5 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects Miles Sanders to be a less important option in his team's ground game in this week's contest (26.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.6% in games he has played).
Miles Sanders's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a meaningful reduction in his running prowess over last year's 74.0 mark.
Miles Sanders's 3.3 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his running prowess over last season's 4.8 rate.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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