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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Panthers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.5 plays per game.

As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in football last year.

This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints run defense has allowed a puny 4.64 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 24th-smallest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The predictive model expects Miles Sanders to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game in this contest (24.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (39.0% in games he has played).

Miles Sanders's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a significant reduction in his running ability over last season's 74.0 mark.

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