Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to garner 16.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Miles Sanders's ground efficiency has worsened this year, averaging a measly 4.65 yards-per-carry vs a 5.44 mark last year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.