Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 15.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 92 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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