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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 13.7 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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