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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-135/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to notch 11.8 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (37.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.6% in games he has played).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 107 per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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