Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accumulate 21.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The New Orleans Saints defensive ends project as the 4th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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