Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accumulate 17.4 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Miles Sanders has received 56.0% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.11 yards-per-carry.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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