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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 4th-most run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.7% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.

Miles Sanders has garnered 40.9% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-least TDs in football (0.57 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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