Miles Sanders Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 49.1% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
Miles Sanders has received 40.4% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have run for the least TDs in the league (0.20 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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