Miles Sanders Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing TD

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
Miles Sanders has earned 40.7% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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