Miles Sanders Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+157/-221).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +173 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.8% red zone run rate.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Philadelphia Eagles have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.