Miles Sanders Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-215).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Miles Sanders has earned 37.5% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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