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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 50.1% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Miles Sanders has garnered 43.2% of his offense's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in run blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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