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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Panthers are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • With a high 9.4% Target Share (76th percentile) this year, Miles Sanders ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • Miles Sanders's 83.9% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a significant gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 71.1% mark.
  • The Saints linebackers profile as the 10th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

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