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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

Miles Sanders's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 71.1% to 78.8%.

The Commanders linebackers profile as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

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