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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+138/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Miles Sanders has played on 57.2% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
  • Miles Sanders has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs, completing a mere 78.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (74.4%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (74.4%).

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