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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive scheme to tilt 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point increase in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Miles Sanders has been more prominently used in his team's passing game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Miles Sanders's 70.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 74.8% mark.

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