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Miles Sanders
NFL · Player Props
Miles Sanders
RB · Carolina Panthers
Receptions
Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 19, 2023 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Miles Sanders Receptions

Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

Favors Over
  • The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
Favors Under
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Miles Sanders's 71.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last year's 74.8% figure.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) to RBs this year (78.1%).
  • The Cowboys linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
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