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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Miles Sanders has played on 57.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to garner 3.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Miles Sanders has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in a mere 74.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile.

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