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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+177/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +177.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the league (91.2%) to RBs this year (91.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Miles Sanders's 8.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 13.5.
  • Miles Sanders's receiving performance has worsened this season, notching a mere 1.2 yards per game compared to 2.2 last season.
  • Miles Sanders's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 81.6% to 75.2%.

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