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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
  • Miles Sanders has run a route on 47.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (84.4%) versus RBs this year (84.4%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has given their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • Miles Sanders's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 81.6% to 76.3%.

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