Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Miles Sanders has played on 57.2% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
Miles Sanders has been among the weakest pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging just 6.0 yards per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile among RBs.
Miles Sanders has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs, completing a mere 78.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile.