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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (39.1 per game) this year.
  • Miles Sanders's 38.9% Snap% this year shows a meaningful diminishment in his offensive volume over last year's 57.3% rate.
  • Miles Sanders has totaled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Miles Sanders's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 74.8% to 71.5%.

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