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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.

Miles Sanders has been much less involved in his team's offense this year, playing on just 39.8% of snaps compared to 57.3% last year.

Miles Sanders has accrued a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 126.5 total plays run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 33.4 per game) this year.

The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Miles Sanders's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 74.8% to 71.4%.

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