Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 63.5 per game on average).
Miles Sanders's 40.8% Snap% this year represents a substantial decline in his offensive usage over last year's 57.3% figure.
Miles Sanders has accumulated a staggering 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Miles Sanders has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (4.0).

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 51.7% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Carolina O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Miles Sanders's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 74.8% to 68.9%.
With a feeble 5.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (23rd percentile) this year, Miles Sanders rates as one of the best pass-catching RBs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.