Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Miles Sanders has run a route on 47.0% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Miles Sanders has put up a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 16th percentile among RBs.
Miles Sanders has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).

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