Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
Miles Sanders has run a route on 45.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Miles Sanders has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).
Miles Sanders's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 81.6% to 78.2%.
Miles Sanders's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling a mere 2.98 yards-per-target compared to a 4.80 figure last season.

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