Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
Miles Sanders has run a route on 48.5% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (41.0) versus RBs this year.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Miles Sanders has put up a paltry -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 20th percentile among RBs.
Miles Sanders has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).
Miles Sanders's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 3.18 yards-per-target vs a 4.80 mark last year.

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