My Account Log Out
 
 
Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) versus running backs this year.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 8.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Miles Sanders has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among RBs.
  • Miles Sanders's 8.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 13.8.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™