Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Miles Sanders's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.9% to 84.0%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.
Miles Sanders has accrued a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among RBs.
Miles Sanders's 8.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 13.8.

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