Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Miles Sanders has run a route on 44.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, allowing 7.39 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 9.87 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.
Miles Sanders has posted a mere -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 5th percentile among running backs.

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