Miles Sanders Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.3% run rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.3 total plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 64.0 per game on average).
The Carolina O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
The Houston defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Panthers offense to tilt 5.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
While Miles Sanders has garnered 53.6% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Carolina's rushing attack in this game at 38.6%.

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