Miles Sanders Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 17.2 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers rank as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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