Miles Sanders Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
Among all RBs, Miles Sanders ranks in the 76th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 41.2% of the workload in his offense's run game.
In regards to run support (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.
The Tampa Bay defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive scheme to tilt 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 42.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Panthers to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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