Miles Sanders Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
The Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 39.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
While Miles Sanders has accounted for 39.1% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Carolina's running game in this game at 15.1%.

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