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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
  • The Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run on 39.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • While Miles Sanders has accounted for 39.1% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Carolina's running game in this game at 15.1%.

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