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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 6th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.1% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 12.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Miles Sanders has been given 50.6% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 26th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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