Miles Sanders Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 17.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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