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Miles Boykin

Miles Boykin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Miles Boykin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-3500).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has allowed the 9th-most passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 0.89 per game this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
  • Miles Boykin has been been lightly used his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among wide receivers.
  • Miles Boykin has compiled a meager 7.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile among WRs.
  • Miles Boykin's 3.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 6th percentile for wideouts.

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