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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to total 9.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (24.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.1% in games he has played).
  • Mike Williams has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 4.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) to wideouts this year (62.8%).
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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