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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to garner 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
  • Mike Williams's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 61.0% to 55.9%.

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