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Mike Williams
NFL · Player Props
Mike Williams
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
Receptions
Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC
NFL Props Mike Williams Receptions

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+121/-161).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -161.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to accrue 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • Mike Williams's 52.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for wideouts.
  • Mike Williams has been among the top WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.7 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
  • Mike Williams's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 61.0% to 71.0%.
Favors Under
  • The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
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